Turkey’s economy is spiraling — and a new election will make things worse

Turkey’s lira fell to a six-month low against the dollar this week as President Recep Erdogan’s ruling AK Party formally requested a new election for the city of Istanbul, where current tallies show it lost by a slim margin in local elections last month. The move spells more trouble ahead for a massive economy already rocked by volatility, political tensions and diplomatic standoffs and whose currency crash last year set off a run on emerging markets. “The market will not like months of uncertai


Turkey’s lira fell to a six-month low against the dollar this week as President Recep Erdogan’s ruling AK Party formally requested a new election for the city of Istanbul, where current tallies show it lost by a slim margin in local elections last month. The move spells more trouble ahead for a massive economy already rocked by volatility, political tensions and diplomatic standoffs and whose currency crash last year set off a run on emerging markets. “The market will not like months of uncertai
Turkey’s economy is spiraling — and a new election will make things worse Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-17  Authors: natasha turak, murad sezer, lockheed martin, -timothy ash, senior emerging markets strategist, bluebay asset management
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, uncertainty, things, economy, volatility, trouble, week, turkey, emerging, turkeys, vote, worse, tuesdayat, spiraling, election


Turkey's economy is spiraling — and a new election will make things worse

Turkey’s lira fell to a six-month low against the dollar this week as President Recep Erdogan’s ruling AK Party formally requested a new election for the city of Istanbul, where current tallies show it lost by a slim margin in local elections last month.

The move spells more trouble ahead for a massive economy already rocked by volatility, political tensions and diplomatic standoffs and whose currency crash last year set off a run on emerging markets.

“The market will not like months of uncertainty, if indeed the vote is repeated,” Timothy Ash, senior emerging markets strategist at Bluebay Asset Management, said in a note Tuesday.

“At this stage, whatever the result of the re-vote, the impression has been left that the election process in Turkey is not secure,” he added.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-17  Authors: natasha turak, murad sezer, lockheed martin, -timothy ash, senior emerging markets strategist, bluebay asset management
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, uncertainty, things, economy, volatility, trouble, week, turkey, emerging, turkeys, vote, worse, tuesdayat, spiraling, election


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Signs of a global economic recovery in the second half are emerging

Worries about the global economy percolate even as equities around the world rise, but an economist at Ned Davis Research says the worst of it may be over. Alejandra Grindal, senior international economist at the firm, said the aggregate of manufacturing purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) from across the globe stabilized in March after falling for 10 straight months. Meanwhile, the number of countries reporting expansion in the manufacturing sector rose for the first time in six months. “We mig


Worries about the global economy percolate even as equities around the world rise, but an economist at Ned Davis Research says the worst of it may be over. Alejandra Grindal, senior international economist at the firm, said the aggregate of manufacturing purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) from across the globe stabilized in March after falling for 10 straight months. Meanwhile, the number of countries reporting expansion in the manufacturing sector rose for the first time in six months. “We mig
Signs of a global economic recovery in the second half are emerging Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-11  Authors: fred imbert, str, afp, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, global, emerging, economic, recovery, ned, months, expansion, half, monetary, international, grindal, second, economist, signs, manufacturing, research


Signs of a global economic recovery in the second half are emerging

Worries about the global economy percolate even as equities around the world rise, but an economist at Ned Davis Research says the worst of it may be over.

Alejandra Grindal, senior international economist at the firm, said the aggregate of manufacturing purchasing managers’ indexes (PMIs) from across the globe stabilized in March after falling for 10 straight months. Meanwhile, the number of countries reporting expansion in the manufacturing sector rose for the first time in six months. She noted these indicators usually bottom about four to eight months “before the next expansion begins.”

“We might be getting signs of a global economic recovery in the second half of the year,” Grindal said at the Ned Davis Research annual investment conference in Boston. “At least it’s sort of giving you some rays of light.”

Grindal’s comments follow the International Monetary Fund decreasing its 2019 growth outlook to 3.3%, which would be the lowest since the financial crisis, from 3.5%. In its report, the IMF highlighted risks such as the potential of increasing trade tensions as well as tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-11  Authors: fred imbert, str, afp, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, global, emerging, economic, recovery, ned, months, expansion, half, monetary, international, grindal, second, economist, signs, manufacturing, research


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Here are the top foreign languages that UK employers want you to have

Indeed analyzed the requirements in millions of job advertisements posted on its website, which is searched by more than 250 million people per month. The total number of job roles specifying language skills as a prerequisite increased by almost 3% in the same period. However, Indeed noted that Brexit’s impact on migration could potentially lead to a “language gap” in the British employment market. “English is a global language, but that cannot always offset the need for fluent speakers of other


Indeed analyzed the requirements in millions of job advertisements posted on its website, which is searched by more than 250 million people per month. The total number of job roles specifying language skills as a prerequisite increased by almost 3% in the same period. However, Indeed noted that Brexit’s impact on migration could potentially lead to a “language gap” in the British employment market. “English is a global language, but that cannot always offset the need for fluent speakers of other
Here are the top foreign languages that UK employers want you to have Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-10  Authors: chloe taylor, image, david madison, photographers choice, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, speakers, market, uk, languages, foreign, eu, skills, employers, emerging, language, fewer, migration, job


Here are the top foreign languages that UK employers want you to have

Indeed analyzed the requirements in millions of job advertisements posted on its website, which is searched by more than 250 million people per month.

Demand for German speakers peaked just before the Brexit referendum in June 2016, according to the data.

The total number of job roles specifying language skills as a prerequisite increased by almost 3% in the same period.

However, Indeed noted that Brexit’s impact on migration could potentially lead to a “language gap” in the British employment market. According to the U.K.’s Office for National Statistics, net migration from the EU is now at its lowest level in a decade, which could signal a reduction in the talent pool when it comes to European language skills.

“Many U.K. employers who require multilingual staff are becoming increasingly unsettled as a perfect storm brews — fewer and fewer linguists are emerging from our education system just as Brexit uncertainty looks to be deterring workers relocating here from the EU,” Bill Richards, U.K. managing director of Indeed, said in a press release.

“English is a global language, but that cannot always offset the need for fluent speakers of other languages. While the U.K. market clearly continues to offer many opportunities for those with additional language skills, there is a danger of a shortfall emerging as insufficient supply butts up against rising demand,” he added.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-10  Authors: chloe taylor, image, david madison, photographers choice, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, speakers, market, uk, languages, foreign, eu, skills, employers, emerging, language, fewer, migration, job


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Investors are starting to realize that not all emerging markets are worth the risk

All of this ahead of an election later in the year. Turkey is also in the midst of stagnation. 2018 was a year that saw the world shaken up by a confluence of factors: tightening financial conditions, a slowing China, a global trade shock and financial market instability. But what if the worst has merely been postponed as indebted countries have not used this time to repair their growth composition? Turkey is a good litmus test.


All of this ahead of an election later in the year. Turkey is also in the midst of stagnation. 2018 was a year that saw the world shaken up by a confluence of factors: tightening financial conditions, a slowing China, a global trade shock and financial market instability. But what if the worst has merely been postponed as indebted countries have not used this time to repair their growth composition? Turkey is a good litmus test.
Investors are starting to realize that not all emerging markets are worth the risk Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-02  Authors: joumanna bercetche, eitan abramovich, afp, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, international, risk, financial, turkey, growth, markets, starting, worth, weekend, model, emerging, worst, trade, inflation, president, realize, investors


Investors are starting to realize that not all emerging markets are worth the risk

Argentina is in the depths of a recession having contracted 6.2 percent in the last quarter of 2019 as President Mauricio Macri grapples with high levels of inflation and pressure from the International Monetary Fund to implement austerity measures. All of this ahead of an election later in the year.

Turkey is also in the midst of stagnation. The economy contracted 3 percent toward the end of 2018, inflation is just shy of 20 percent with pass-through from the currency after the lira depreciated 30 percent in 2018.

Analysts have labeled the local elections this past weekend as a referendum on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s policies, but one trader told me that either way “we are likely to see more volatility as locals continue to buy dollars and are worried about the growth outlook.”

Robin Brooks, the chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, wrote in a note last week that beyond politics, “markets would like to see a shift in the growth model: away from a credit-dependent model towards a more sustainable one,” adding that one cannot assume Turkey is an isolated event as investors become increasingly wary of financing countries that are too heavily indebted/credit dependent.

2018 was a year that saw the world shaken up by a confluence of factors: tightening financial conditions, a slowing China, a global trade shock and financial market instability.

With optimism about a China-U.S. trade deal, the Fed turning dovish as well as more positive data out of China over the weekend, one could say that the worst is behind us. But what if the worst has merely been postponed as indebted countries have not used this time to repair their growth composition? Turkey is a good litmus test.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-04-02  Authors: joumanna bercetche, eitan abramovich, afp, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, international, risk, financial, turkey, growth, markets, starting, worth, weekend, model, emerging, worst, trade, inflation, president, realize, investors


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Here’s the one question to ask when investing in emerging markets

Emerging markets are getting energized this year. The VWO Vanguard FTSE emerging markets ETF and small cap-focused IEMG MSCI emerging markets ETF, which holds small caps, have had similar moves this year. Investors can play an even more bullish bet on the emerging markets by pairing a long position with a short position on the developed markets. The Direxion RWED emerging over developed markets ETF, for example, is 150 percent in emerging markets and 50 percent short the developed markets. Direx


Emerging markets are getting energized this year. The VWO Vanguard FTSE emerging markets ETF and small cap-focused IEMG MSCI emerging markets ETF, which holds small caps, have had similar moves this year. Investors can play an even more bullish bet on the emerging markets by pairing a long position with a short position on the developed markets. The Direxion RWED emerging over developed markets ETF, for example, is 150 percent in emerging markets and 50 percent short the developed markets. Direx
Here’s the one question to ask when investing in emerging markets Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18  Authors: keris lahiff
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, etf, exposure, investing, ask, emerging, play, china, eem, question, example, short, heres, markets, developed


Here's the one question to ask when investing in emerging markets

Emerging markets are getting energized this year.

The most well-known emerging markets exchange-traded fund, the EEM MSCI ETF, has rallied more than 11 percent in 2019, keeping it at the heels of the S&P 500’s nearly 13 percent gain. The VWO Vanguard FTSE emerging markets ETF and small cap-focused IEMG MSCI emerging markets ETF, which holds small caps, have had similar moves this year.

Tom Lydon, editor-in-chief of ETFTrends.com, said there’s is an important question to ask when deciding upon how to play the emerging market.

“Recently it’s been all about China and China does make up a big part of emerging markets today,” Lydon said on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” on Monday. “Do you want to play all emerging markets or do you want to be specific on China? There are a lot of varieties out there.”

The EEM ETF, for example, has 73 percent exposure to the Asia Pacific with 23 percent coming from Hong Kong, 10 percent from Taiwan, and 8 percent from China.

Lydon says a better way to gain exposure to the China space is the ASHR China A-shares ETF, a more-focused mainland China play. It has rallied more than 30 percent this year.

Todd Rosenbluth, director of ETF and mutual fund research at CFRA, says investors need to be aware of what is in their emerging markets ETF and whether they have enough, or any, exposure to their favored region.

“You really need to look under the hoods with ETFs, and emerging markets are a perfect example of that,” Rosenbluth said on “ETF Edge on Monday. “EEM, and a cheaper version IEMG, has South Korean exposure – it’s about 14 percent of the portfolio. VWO does not have that so it has more exposure to India, South Africa, other countries besides China.”

Investors can play an even more bullish bet on the emerging markets by pairing a long position with a short position on the developed markets. The Direxion RWED emerging over developed markets ETF, for example, is 150 percent in emerging markets and 50 percent short the developed markets.

“Investors can be tactical using ETFs whether they are focused only on emerging markets or if they want to do that relative to developed markets and these Direxion products are new but are very compelling to take a look at,” said Rosenbluth.

Direxion also has a long developed markets, short emerging markets play in the RWDE ETF. Both launched earlier this year.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18  Authors: keris lahiff
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, etf, exposure, investing, ask, emerging, play, china, eem, question, example, short, heres, markets, developed


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Mark Mobius says Brexit could be ‘terrific’ for emerging markets

The prospect of Britain leaving the European Union without a Withdrawal Agreement over the coming days could be “terrific” for emerging markets, according to veteran fund manager Mark Mobius. His comments come as British Prime Minister Theresa May considers whether to put her embattled Brexit deal before Parliament for the third time. Everybody can come into our country, everybody can trade free of problems,’ then (Brexit) is going to be terrific,” Mark Mobius, founding partner at Mobius Capital


The prospect of Britain leaving the European Union without a Withdrawal Agreement over the coming days could be “terrific” for emerging markets, according to veteran fund manager Mark Mobius. His comments come as British Prime Minister Theresa May considers whether to put her embattled Brexit deal before Parliament for the third time. Everybody can come into our country, everybody can trade free of problems,’ then (Brexit) is going to be terrific,” Mark Mobius, founding partner at Mobius Capital
Mark Mobius says Brexit could be ‘terrific’ for emerging markets Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18  Authors: sam meredith, reuters tv via reuters
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, brexit, terrific, good, mark, uk, emerging, mobius, markets, trade, going


Mark Mobius says Brexit could be 'terrific' for emerging markets

The prospect of Britain leaving the European Union without a Withdrawal Agreement over the coming days could be “terrific” for emerging markets, according to veteran fund manager Mark Mobius.

His comments come as British Prime Minister Theresa May considers whether to put her embattled Brexit deal before Parliament for the third time.

May has urged U.K. lawmakers to make an “honourable compromise” on her twice-rejected Brexit deal, with less than 12 days to go before the world’s fifth-largest economy is set to leave the bloc.

“If the U.K. says: ‘Look, we are free trade. Everybody can come into our country, everybody can trade free of problems,’ then (Brexit) is going to be terrific,” Mark Mobius, founding partner at Mobius Capital Partners, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Monday.

“It is going to be good for England, it is going to be good for the rest of the world and particularly for emerging countries,” Mobius said.

“Don’t forget, the U.K. has very close ties with a lot of these great emerging markets.”


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18  Authors: sam meredith, reuters tv via reuters
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, brexit, terrific, good, mark, uk, emerging, mobius, markets, trade, going


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Saudi Arabia’s stock exchange makes its debut on global emerging markets indexes

Saudi Arabia’s stock exchange, the Tadawul, took its first step Monday of inclusion in two major international indexes: the FTSE Russell and S&P Dow Jones’ emerging markets indices. The inclusion marks a continuation of efforts by the Saudi kingdom to open up its market to international investors, Tadawul CEO Khalid Abdullah al-Hussan told CNBC’s Hadley Gamble in Riyadh. “We haven’t seen any turbulence on inflows of cash for the first tranche of FTSE and it was very smooth by both the sellers an


Saudi Arabia’s stock exchange, the Tadawul, took its first step Monday of inclusion in two major international indexes: the FTSE Russell and S&P Dow Jones’ emerging markets indices. The inclusion marks a continuation of efforts by the Saudi kingdom to open up its market to international investors, Tadawul CEO Khalid Abdullah al-Hussan told CNBC’s Hadley Gamble in Riyadh. “We haven’t seen any turbulence on inflows of cash for the first tranche of FTSE and it was very smooth by both the sellers an
Saudi Arabia’s stock exchange makes its debut on global emerging markets indexes Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18  Authors: natasha turak, simon dawson bloomberg getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, debut, stock, alhussan, inclusion, saudi, investors, global, makes, exchange, emerging, markets, arabias, inflows, international, market, tadawul, ftse, indexes


Saudi Arabia's stock exchange makes its debut on global emerging markets indexes

Saudi Arabia’s stock exchange, the Tadawul, took its first step Monday of inclusion in two major international indexes: the FTSE Russell and S&P Dow Jones’ emerging markets indices.

The inclusion marks a continuation of efforts by the Saudi kingdom to open up its market to international investors, Tadawul CEO Khalid Abdullah al-Hussan told CNBC’s Hadley Gamble in Riyadh.

“We haven’t seen any turbulence on inflows of cash for the first tranche of FTSE and it was very smooth by both the sellers and as well as the buyers, which in my opinion confirmed the confidence of international investors to participate in the Saudi markets and the regulatory framework of the Saudi capital market,” al-Hussan said.

Al-Hussan expects this inclusion to bring in around $15 billion in passive inflows across the indices, adding that calculating the expected active funds is more challenging.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18  Authors: natasha turak, simon dawson bloomberg getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, debut, stock, alhussan, inclusion, saudi, investors, global, makes, exchange, emerging, markets, arabias, inflows, international, market, tadawul, ftse, indexes


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Hard Brexit could benefit UK and emerging markets, Mark Mobius says

Hard Brexit could benefit UK and emerging markets, Mark Mobius says7 Hours AgoMark Mobius, founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners, says he fears a soft Brexit will prohibit the U.K.’s economic potential.


Hard Brexit could benefit UK and emerging markets, Mark Mobius says7 Hours AgoMark Mobius, founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners, says he fears a soft Brexit will prohibit the U.K.’s economic potential.
Hard Brexit could benefit UK and emerging markets, Mark Mobius says Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, brexit, potential, benefit, prohibit, hard, soft, mark, uk, uks, emerging, mobius, says7, markets, partners, partner


Hard Brexit could benefit UK and emerging markets, Mark Mobius says

Hard Brexit could benefit UK and emerging markets, Mark Mobius says

7 Hours Ago

Mark Mobius, founding partner of Mobius Capital Partners, says he fears a soft Brexit will prohibit the U.K.’s economic potential.


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-18
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, brexit, potential, benefit, prohibit, hard, soft, mark, uk, uks, emerging, mobius, says7, markets, partners, partner


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Economists warn that China’s growth could plummet to 2 percent in the next decade

China has been a strong performer among emerging economies, even if its growth has been slowing. Growth in China could plummet to 2 percent over the next decade — from the expected 6.0 to 6.5 percent target this year, predicted Capital’s Chief Asia Economist Mark Williams. “China’s time as an emerging markets outperformer is ending,” said Williams, at the Capital Economics annual conference in Singapore on Tuesday. He added that the estimated 2 percent growth is a “long way” from the 5 to 6 perc


China has been a strong performer among emerging economies, even if its growth has been slowing. Growth in China could plummet to 2 percent over the next decade — from the expected 6.0 to 6.5 percent target this year, predicted Capital’s Chief Asia Economist Mark Williams. “China’s time as an emerging markets outperformer is ending,” said Williams, at the Capital Economics annual conference in Singapore on Tuesday. He added that the estimated 2 percent growth is a “long way” from the 5 to 6 perc
Economists warn that China’s growth could plummet to 2 percent in the next decade Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-06  Authors: weizhen tan, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, slowing, economy, plummet, capital, warn, chinas, conference, growth, china, emerging, decade, economists, risks, expected, target


Economists warn that China's growth could plummet to 2 percent in the next decade

China has been a strong performer among emerging economies, even if its growth has been slowing. But that’s set to end, according to research firm Capital Economics.

Growth in China could plummet to 2 percent over the next decade — from the expected 6.0 to 6.5 percent target this year, predicted Capital’s Chief Asia Economist Mark Williams.

“China’s time as an emerging markets outperformer is ending,” said Williams, at the Capital Economics annual conference in Singapore on Tuesday. He added that the estimated 2 percent growth is a “long way” from the 5 to 6 percent expected by the International Monetary Fund for the next decade.

Speakers at the conference pointed to a number of risks, as well as changing demographics in the world’s second largest economy. That includes its debt problem, declining work force, and increasingly weaker drivers of productivity, they said.

Those predictions come as Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said at the annual National People’s Congress on Tuesday that the official economic growth target this year will be 6.0 to 6.5 percent, slowing from last year.

Li also warned that there will be greater risks ahead for the Asian economy, saying: “We must be fully prepared for a tough struggle.”


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-03-06  Authors: weizhen tan, getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, slowing, economy, plummet, capital, warn, chinas, conference, growth, china, emerging, decade, economists, risks, expected, target


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Emerging markets are red hot right now. Here are three investments for the rest of 2019

Investors thinking about betting in emerging markets should look at Brazilian stocks, Mexican bonds and banks in the space, according to strategists and analysts. Emerging markets have been one of the hottest trades of the year. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets exchange-traded fund (EEM) is up 7.6 percent. “This is one of the best times to diversify into emerging markets,” said Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management. “Everything is pointing to outperformance in emerging marke


Investors thinking about betting in emerging markets should look at Brazilian stocks, Mexican bonds and banks in the space, according to strategists and analysts. Emerging markets have been one of the hottest trades of the year. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets exchange-traded fund (EEM) is up 7.6 percent. “This is one of the best times to diversify into emerging markets,” said Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management. “Everything is pointing to outperformance in emerging marke
Emerging markets are red hot right now. Here are three investments for the rest of 2019 Cached Page below :
Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-02-12  Authors: fred imbert, cris faga, nurphoto via getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, investors, right, yields, war, markets, strategists, red, bonds, betting, hot, investments, eem, rest, stocks, 2019, emerging


Emerging markets are red hot right now. Here are three investments for the rest of 2019

Investors thinking about betting in emerging markets should look at Brazilian stocks, Mexican bonds and banks in the space, according to strategists and analysts.

Brazilian stocks are off to a high-flying start this year as investors bet newly minted President Jair Bolsonaro will push through key reforms. In Mexico, relatively high yields make their bonds attractive. Strategists are also betting that a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve, constructive outlooks for 2019 and a possible resolution to the U.S.-China trade war can bolster emerging-market banks.

Emerging markets have been one of the hottest trades of the year. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets exchange-traded fund (EEM) is up 7.6 percent. EEM fell 17.1 percent last year and was in bear-market territory, trading 20 percent from its 52-week high.

“This is one of the best times to diversify into emerging markets,” said Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management. “Everything is pointing to outperformance in emerging markets.”


Company: cnbc, Activity: cnbc, Date: 2019-02-12  Authors: fred imbert, cris faga, nurphoto via getty images
Keywords: news, cnbc, companies, investors, right, yields, war, markets, strategists, red, bonds, betting, hot, investments, eem, rest, stocks, 2019, emerging


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